This is one of the most one-sided motivation contests of IPL 2026’s final weekend. Rajasthan Royals come to Wankhede needing just one win to confirm their playoff spot. They have 14 points from 13 matches. Their fate is entirely in their own hands. Win and qualify. Lose and go home.
Mumbai Indians are already eliminated. They have just 3 wins from 12 matches. They are playing out the season with nothing but individual pride on the line.
But here is the twist. This is a 3:30 PM afternoon match at Wankhede. That is the flattest batting surface in the IPL. Mumbai have Rohit Sharma, Ryan Rickelton (430 runs at strike rate 190.26), and Jasprit Bumrah playing at their home fortress. Vaibhav Sooryavanshi leads the IPL 2026 Orange Cap with 579 runs at strike rate 236.32. Rajasthan beat Mumbai by 27 runs in their last meeting. For Rajasthan, this match means everything.
MI vs RR Win Probability
MI vs RR Match Details
| Match | Indian Premier League 2026, 69th Match |
| Date | Sunday, 24 May 2026 |
| Time | 03:30 PM (IST) |
| Venue | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai |
| Live Streaming (TV) | Star Sports Network |
| Live Streaming (Mobile) | JioHotstar |
MI vs RR Team Form – Who Will Win Today’s Match?
Mumbai Indians
Mumbai have won only 3 matches from 12 this season. They are already eliminated. But they still have world class players. Ryan Rickelton has 430 runs at strike rate 190.26. Rohit Sharma has 268 runs at average 44.66 and strike rate 164.41. Corbin Bosch has 8 wickets in just 4 matches with best figures of 4 for 26. AM Ghazanfar has 13 wickets at strike rate 14.69. Jasprit Bumrah has 65 all time wickets at Wankhede. That is the second most at this venue.
Rajasthan Royals
Rajasthan have 14 points from 13 matches. One win gives them a playoff spot. Vaibhav Sooryavanshi leads the Orange Cap with 579 runs at strike rate 236.32. Yashasvi Jaiswal has 370 runs at strike rate 159.48. Jofra Archer has 18 wickets at economy 9.14. Donovan Ferreira has 249 runs at strike rate 175.35.
MI vs RR Head to Head Record
| Last 5 Matches | |
| RR Won | 03 |
| MI Won | 02 |
| Draw/NR/Tie | 00 |
MI vs RR Probable Playing XI
Mumbai Indians Probable XI –
Rohit Sharma, Ryan Rickelton (wk), Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Naman Dhir, Hardik Pandya (c), Will Jacks, Corbin Bosch, Deepak Chahar, Jasprit Bumrah, AM Ghazanfar.
Rajasthan Royals Probable XI-
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi, Yashasvi Jaiswal (c), Dhruv Jurel (wk), Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Donovan Ferreira, Shubham Dubey, Dasun Shanaka, Jofra Archer, Sandeep Sharma, Sushant Mishra, Brijesh Sharma.
MI vs RR Pitch Report
Wankhede is a batting paradise. The surface is flat. The outfield is lightning fast. Boundaries come easily from ball one. Pace bowlers get some early bounce and movement in the first 2 to 3 overs. But the pitch quickly settles into a true batting track where stroke making is comfortable throughout.
Spinners can find some help in the middle overs as the surface wears. But this is a batter’s ground. The average first innings score is above 170 runs. High scoring games consistently cross 200 in recent seasons.
MI vs RR Weather Report
Mumbai will be hot and partly cloudy on match afternoon. The temperature will stay between 32 and 35 degree Celsius with coastal humidity around 65 to 75 percent. There is a very low chance of rain, under 15 percent. Since this is a 3:30 PM afternoon game, dew will not be a factor at all. The conditions will be warm but fine for a full match.
MI vs RR Toss Prediction
The toss winner will likely bat first. Wankhede is a flat batting paradise. The average first innings score is above 170. This is a 3:30 PM afternoon match. Dew is completely irrelevant. Both captains will want to post a big total and back their bowlers.
MI vs RR Match Prediction
We predict Rajasthan Royals will win this match.
Win and qualify. That motivation alone separates these two sides. Sooryavanshi is the Orange Cap leader with 579 runs. Archer has 18 wickets. Playoff desperation makes Rajasthan the stronger side in every department. Mumbai have won just 3 from 12 and are already out. The only way Mumbai win is if Rickelton and Rohit both fire and they post 200 plus. But Rajasthan is the safer and smarter pick.
MI vs RR Dream11 Team
- Wicketkeeper- Ryan Rickelton, Dhruv Jurel
- Batters- Rohit Sharma, Vaibhav Sooryavanshi, Yashasvi Jaiswal
- All rounders- Hardik Pandya, Donovan Ferreira, Corbin Bosch
- Bowlers- Jasprit Bumrah, Jofra Archer, A M Ghazanfar
Captain pick- Vaibhav Sooryavanshi.
Vice captain pick- Ryan Rickelton.
