The Big Bash League reaches a critical juncture as the Adelaide Strikers host the Melbourne Renegades in what could be a finals-deciding encounter. Both teams sit level on six points, with the Strikers reeling from a recent collapse where they were bowled out for 83, and the Renegades seeking to convert their occasional competitive flashes into much-needed consistency. With minimal room for error, this clash promises a tense, tactical battle under the Adelaide Oval lights.
Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Win Probability
AS vs MR Batting Tips
Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades, 38th Match Details
| Match | Big Bash League 2025-26, Match 38 |
| Date | Saturday, January 17, 2026 |
| Time | 11:30 AM (IST), 5:00 PM (Local) |
| Venue | Sydney Cricket Ground (SCG), Sydney |
| Live Streaming (TV) | Sony Sports Network |
| Live Streaming (Mobile) | JioHotstar |
AS vs MR Match Prediction & Analysis (Who Will Win?)
This is a classic pressure-cooker situation. Analysis of both teams’ recent form shows similar vulnerabilities, particularly fragile middle orders. However, the prediction leans slightly towards the Adelaide Strikers. The logic hinges on their home advantage and the Adelaide Oval pitch, which is expected to offer grip for spinners as the game progresses. The Strikers’ spin attack, noted for conceding fewer straight boundaries, could be decisive in the middle overs, stifling the Renegades’ batting. For the Renegades to win, surviving the Strikers’ new-ball attack and powerplay unscathed is non-negotiable to allow their deeper middle order to build a chase. Expect a narrow victory, shaped by which team handles the high-stakes pressure better.
AS vs MR Head to Head
| Total Matches | 20 |
| MS Won | 12 |
| AS Won | 08 |
| Draw/No Result | 00 |
AS vs MR Teams Preview (Key Players to Watch)
Adelaide Strikers
The Strikers’ season has been plagued by over-reliance on their top order and dramatic collapses. Their bowling, however, remains competitive at home. The key for them will be for batsmen like Chris Lynn to build a platform, allowing their varied spin attack of Shamsi, Boyce, and Pope to defend a total on a helpful surface.
AS Probable Playing XI-
Matthew Short (C), Alex Carey (WK), Chris Lynn, Mackenzie Harvey, Liam Scott, Jamie Overton, Cameron Boyce, Luke Wood, Tabraiz Shamsi, Lloyd Pope, Jordan Buckingham.
Top Player to Watch- Matthew Short & Tabraiz Shamsi.
Melbourne Renegades
The Renegades have shown flickers of good form with two close wins built on calm finishes, indicating better composure in tight situations. Their challenge is erratic powerplay batting. If players like Jake Fraser-McGurk or Mohammad Rizwan can provide a steady start, their experienced middle order and bowling attack featuring Zampa and Behrendorff have the tools to control the game.
MR Probable Playing XI-
Josh Brown, Tim Seifert (WK), Jake Fraser-McGurk, Mohammad Rizwan, Will Sutherland (C), Hassan Khan, Adam Zampa, Gurinder Sandhu, Tom Rogers, Jason Behrendorff, Nathan Lyon.
Top Player to Watch- Adam Zampa & Hassan Khan.
AS vs MR Weather & Pitch Report
The Adelaide Oval surface typically offers true bounce for stroke-makers early on, with noticeable grip for spinners as the match progresses. The short square boundaries encourage risk-taking, while the longer straight boundaries reward proper cricketing shots. A first-innings total in the range of 165-175 is considered competitive.
Conditions in Adelaide are expected to be clear and pleasant for an evening match, ideal for an uninterrupted game of cricket.
AS vs MR Dream11 Team
- Wicket-keeper: Alex Carey / Tim Seifert
- Batter: Chris Lynn, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Mohammad Rizwan
- All-rounder: Matthew Short, Will Sutherland, Jamie Overton
- Bowler: Adam Zampa, Tabraiz Shamsi, Jason Behrendorff
Pro Tip: For fantasy contests, platforms like Dream11 offer free team creation for users outside India. Always finalize your team after the official playing XIs are announced, typically 30 minutes before the match start (around 01:15 PM IST), to account for any last-minute changes.
Disclaimer: This match prediction is based on analysis of recent form, head-to-head records, and pitch conditions. It is for entertainment purposes only. We do not endorse or engage in any illegal betting activities. Users, especially from India, must comply with all local laws, including regulations under the new Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Bill, 2025.
